Blue Owl Capital Stock Performance

OBDC Stock   11.29  0.43  3.67%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.27, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Blue Owl are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Blue Owl is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Blue Owl Capital has a negative expected return of -0.16%. Please make sure to confirm Blue Owl's rate of daily change, price action indicator, and the relationship between the accumulation distribution and day typical price , to decide if Blue Owl Capital performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Blue Owl Capital has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest inconsistent performance, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain sound and the latest tumult on Wall Street may also be a sign of longer-term gains for the firm shareholders. ...more
 
Blue Owl dividend paid on 15th of January 2026
01/15/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow514.2 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-3.4 B

Blue Owl Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,284  in Blue Owl Capital on December 2, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (131.00) from holding Blue Owl Capital or give up 10.2% of portfolio value over 90 days. Blue Owl Capital is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 1.6417% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Blue, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blue Owl is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.17 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.1 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of volatility.

Blue Owl Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Blue Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 11.29 90 days 11.29 
over 95.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blue Owl to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.1 (This Blue Owl Capital probability density function shows the probability of Blue Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Blue Owl Capital has a beta of -0.27. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blue Owl are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blue Owl Capital is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blue Owl Capital has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blue Owl Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blue Owl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blue Owl Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blue Owl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.8711.5113.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2212.8614.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1111.7513.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.5311.5311.53
Details

Blue Owl Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blue Owl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blue Owl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blue Owl Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blue Owl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Blue Owl Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blue Owl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blue Owl Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Owl Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 15th of January 2026 Blue Owl paid 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Blue Owl Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blue Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blue Owl's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blue Owl's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding506.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.8 M

Blue Owl Fundamentals Growth

Blue Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Blue Owl, and Blue Owl fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Blue Stock performance.

About Blue Owl Performance

By analyzing Blue Owl's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Blue Owl's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Blue Owl has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Blue Owl has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.

Things to note about Blue Owl Capital performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blue Owl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Blue Owl Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blue Owl Capital generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
On 15th of January 2026 Blue Owl paid 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Evaluating Blue Owl's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Blue Owl's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Blue Owl's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Blue Owl's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Blue Owl's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Blue Owl's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Blue Owl's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Blue Owl's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Blue Owl's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Blue Owl's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Blue Owl's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Blue Owl's price analysis, check to measure Blue Owl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blue Owl is operating at the current time. Most of Blue Owl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blue Owl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blue Owl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blue Owl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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